2008 elections and reliability of state polls subject of panel discussion, Oct. 7
Audience:Open to the Public
A panel discussion titled "The 2008 Presidential Election: Can the State Polls be Trusted?" will be held at 4:30 p.m. on Tuesday, October 7, in Dodds Auditorium, Robertson Hall, on the Princeton University campus.
Panelists will include Christopher Achen, the Woodrow Wilson School’s Roger Williams Straus Professor of Social Sciences and Associate Chair of the Department of Politics at Princeton University; Andrew Gelman, a professor in the Departments of Statistics and Political Science at Columbia University and director of the University’s Applied Statistics Center; and Larry Hugick, Chairman of Princeton Survey Research Associates International. Alan Krueger, the Bendheim Professor of Economics and Public Policy at the Woodrow Wilson School and Director of the Survey Research Center at Princeton, will moderate the discussion.
Christopher Achen’s research interests include political methodology, particularly in its application to empirical democratic theory, American politics, and international relations. He is the author of two books, “Interpreting and Using Regression” and “The Statistical Analysis of Quasi-Experiments, and co-author of Cross-Level Inference.” He is also co-editor of and contributor to the books “The European Union Decides” and “Voter Turnout in Multi-Level Systems” (forthcoming). Achen was the first president of the Political Methodology Section of the American Political Science Association, and is a member of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences.
Andrew Gelman, a professor in the Departments of Statistics and Political Science at Columbia University and director of the Applied Statistics Center, is also the founding director of the Quantitative Methods in the Social Sciences program at Columbia. His research interests include Bayesian statistics, sample surveys, political science, spatial statistics, environmental sciences, statistical graphics and computation. Gelman is the author of the new book “Red State, Blue State, Rich State, Poor State: Why Americans Vote the Way They Do” (Princeton University Press, 2008).
Larry Hugick is Chairman of Princeton Survey Research Associates (PSRA) International. A nationally recognized expert in public opinion, pre-election polling, and policy research, Hugick conducts the regular Newsweek poll and advises the magazine on social trends and politics. He has also conducted research studies of “rally events” and presidential approval and problems in polling on biracial elections. Hugick has conducted surveys on a wide range of health and health care topics for the Kaiser Family Foundation, Harvard School of Public Health, Prevention magazine, and other clients.
Alan Krueger’s primary research and teaching interests are in the general areas of labor economics, education, industrial relations, economics of terrorism, social insurance. He has published widely on the economics of education, terrorism, labor demand, income distribution, social insurance, labor market regulation, and environmental economics. Krueger is the founding director of the Princeton University Survey Research Center and a Research Associate of the National Bureau of Economic Research and of the Institute for the Study of Labor. He is the author of "What Makes A Terrorist: Economics and the Roots of Terrorism" and "Education Matters: A Selection of Essays on Education." He is also co-author of "Myth and Measurement: The New Economics of the Minimum Wage," and "Inequality in America: What Role for Human Capital Policies?" In 1994-95 he served as Chief Economist at the U.S. Department of Labor.
This event is co-sponsored by the Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs, the Survey Research Center, the Center for the Study of Democratic Politics, and the New York and New Jersey chapters of the American Association for Public Opinion Research. It is free and open to the public.