Research

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Title
Author(s)
Year
Brandice Canes-Wrone
2015
This article reviews recent research on how mass opinion affects policy making in the context of US national institutions. Three themes materialize. First, research provides compelling evidence for “responsiveness,” in which change in mass opinion is ...
2014
We argue that the politician-versus-citizen distrust depends on a failure of relational accountability, citizens’ lacking trust in politicians’ shared intentions. Politicians have a goal to get and maintain power, and voters have a goal to elect ...
Rafaela Dancygier
2014
Rafaela Dancygier April, 2014 World Politics, Vol. 66, No. 2 Elections Domestic Politics ...
Brandice Canes-Wrone
2014
Most U.S. state supreme court justices face elections or reappointment by elected officials, and research suggests that judicial campaigns have come to resemble those for other offices. We develop predictions on how selection systems should affect ...
Brandice Canes-Wrone
2014
This article argues that the policy uncertainty generated by elections encourages private actors to delay investments that entail high costs of reversal, creating pre-election declines in the associated sectors. Moreover, this incentive depends on the ...
Carles Boix
2013
Une majorité de Catalans semble désormais favorable à la tenue en 2014 d’un référendum sur l’indépendance. Une attitude qui se réfère au caractère multiséculaire de la revendication politique et culturelle catalane, mais qui est aussi le résultat, au-delà ...
Rafaela Dancygier
2013
As ethnic diversity rises across Europe, the Left faces a trade-off between incorporating new minorities while retaining support from settled, working-class voters. Focusing on the Labour Party’s selection of Muslims and employing a dataset containing ...
Markus Prior
2013
Annual Reviews This article examines if the emergence of more partisan media has contributed to political polarization and led Americans to support more partisan policies and candidates. Congress and some newer media outlets have added more partisan ...
Helen Milner
2013
Developing countries have increasingly opened their economies to trade. Research about trade policy in developed countries focuses on a bottom-up process by identifying economic preferences of domestic groups. We know less about developing countries. We ...
R. Douglas Arnold
2012
How do citizens evaluate the performance of their mayors? Previous studies have examined mayoral performance either with cross-sectional surveys or by comparing pairs of consecutive elections. In this article, we use 150 surveys conducted in New York City ...
2012
Since the 1930s, political scientists have marshaled a great deal of statistical evidence in support of a proposition long familiar to politicians: Hard times hurt incumbents. In nearly all these studies, voters’ retrospections are myopic: Only the most ...
John Londregan
2012
In Chile's two-member legislative districts we show there are two groups of swing voters, one group for the first seat won by the governing coalition, another for the second. We build a model that allows us to identify the relative prevalence of ...
Markus Prior
2012
To examine whether a campaign event affected candidate preferences or candidate knowledge, survey researchers need to know who was exposed to the event. Using the example of presidential debates, this study shows that survey respondents do not accurately ...
Kim Scheppele
2012
Kim Scheppele July, 2012 With Miklós Bánkuti and Gábor Halmai; Journal of Democracy, Vol. 23, No. 3 Law Politics Elections Domestic Politics http://www.journalofdemocracy.org/article/hungary%E2%80%99s-illiberal-turn-disab... ...
Brandice Canes-Wrone
2012
Judges face retention elections in over a third of U.S. state courts of last resort and numerous lower courts. According to conventional wisdom, these elections engender judicial independence and decrease democratic accountability. We argue that in the ...
2012
Elections between black and white candidates tend to involve close margins and high turnout. Using a novel dataset of municipal vote returns during the rise of black mayors in U.S. cities, this paper establishes new facts about turnout and competition in ...
Brandice Canes-Wrone
2012
Studies of OECD countries have generally failed to detect real economic expansions in the pre-election period, casting doubt on the existence of opportunistic political business cycles. We develop a theory that predicts a substantial portion of the ...
2011
November, 2011 With Aram Hur; 선거연구 Vol. 1, Issue 2 Elections Psychology Domestic Politics achen_civic_duty_and_voter_turnout_in_japan_and_south_korea_0.pdf http://kiss.kstudy.com/journal/thesis_name.asp?tname=kiss2002&key=2941299 ...
Brandice Canes-Wrone
2011
Under what conditions, if any, does the mass electorate hold congressional members accountable for their records on specific issues? We examine this question on the issue of crime, for which salience has varied substantially and opinion has favored ...
2010
Pre-election “intention to vote” has come to substitute for “reported vote” or “validated vote” in many studies of turnout. The differences among them have been little studied. In this report, we examine all three jointly in a single U.S. dataset for what ...